Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.487304 0.619183 0.761172 0.923593 1.102589 1.292374 1.507422
2025-05-25 0.257755 0.421350 0.617965 0.862106 1.149211 1.469667 1.848550
2025-06-01 0.144090 0.306166 0.521967 0.807924 1.159959 1.566135 2.058831
2025-06-08 0.079789 0.233516 0.462123 0.783867 1.195554 1.683176 2.286213
2025-06-15 0.048271 0.196833 0.440972 0.801194 1.275198 1.846873 2.563016
2025-06-22 0.022865 0.155913 0.404896 0.792276 1.317166 1.961796 2.779535
2025-06-29 0.006964 0.118024 0.364663 0.771415 1.339220 2.048990 2.960157
2025-07-06 0.002662 0.107576 0.367993 0.811511 1.440302 2.233329 3.257378
2025-07-13 0.000732 0.101408 0.377471 0.859859 1.551939 2.430654 3.570329
2025-07-20 0.000008 0.094137 0.383157 0.901578 1.654125 2.615841 3.868419
2025-07-27 NaN 0.097152 0.409452 0.975229 1.800100 2.856759 4.235105
2025-08-03 NaN 0.095207 0.424797 1.031500 1.922133 3.067300 4.564671
2025-08-10 NaN 0.079976 0.411175 1.044478 1.988983 3.213747 4.823818
2025-08-17 NaN 0.050777 0.356530 0.987374 1.956353 3.232220 4.925527
2025-08-24 NaN 0.028114 0.303968 0.926731 1.913958 3.234437 5.003807
2025-08-31 NaN 0.016465 0.274264 0.901543 1.919911 3.297712 5.156545
2025-09-07 NaN 0.012291 0.269123 0.919986 1.989509 3.444753 5.414649
2025-09-14 NaN 0.006627 0.250116 0.910451 2.016357 3.534294 5.599554
2025-09-21 NaN 0.002238 0.225892 0.887982 2.022151 3.594673 5.746680
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001933 0.234380 0.931124 2.128290 3.790378 6.066699
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001986 0.247098 0.983043 2.248082 4.004716 6.410768
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001771 0.256310 1.027769 2.356865 4.204281 6.736108
2025-10-19 NaN 0.002876 0.281992 1.106571 2.518367 4.475381 7.153226